WEB NEWS GeoSpecial Notes
On 10/19/2011 we added FUEL to the GeoSpecial list @ $3.10
Catalyst : Strong fourth quarter 2011 results and bullish conference call .
We are now removing FUEL from the GeoSpeicial List @ $1.99
Current road block : Lower revenue and earings projections for fiscal 2012 and suspension of quarterly dividend.
Peak performance: Reached a high of $4.22 on 2/15/2012 for a possible maximum return of 36%
GeoSpecial Notes
This is a review of our FUEL GeoNugget released on November 16, 2011.
GeoNuggets® - Quick Check List Highlighting Undiscovered Opportunities
On 10/19/2011 we coded FUEL as a GeoSpecial @ $3.10
Fiscal Year End: June
Price = $2.92
Fully-Taxed Trailing EPS = $0.17
GeoInvesting Fully-Taxed (conservative) fiscal 2012 EPS Estimate = $0.25
P/E based on Fully-Taxed Trailing EPS = 17
P/E based on Fully-Taxed fiscal 2012 EPS Estimate: 11.68
Criteria Check List
FUEL Meets 8 out of 10 GeoCriteria
Requirement Comments
Recent 52-week High (generally within 3 months) Yes
Strong EPS Growth Rate As of its 2012 fiscal year end
Yes
> 30% EPS Growth Rate a
Yes
GeoPowerRanking (GPR); Number of consecutive quarters that EPS is expected to grow at least 30% .
Based on company commentary we believe a GPR of at least 3 is attainable
10% Revenue Growth
1st Qtr. 2012 revenue increased 45%.
Full year 2011 revenue growth rate of 23.0%
To see more requirements, reasons for optimism, as well as potential valuation, see the rest of our November 16, 2011 GeoNugget.
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Comments & Business Outlook
FT. LAUDERDALE, Fla. , Jan. 12, 2012 /PRNewswire / -- SMF ENERGY CORPORATION (NASDAQ: FUEL), a leading energy logistics company providing efficient, just in time distribution of petroleum products and chemicals, today announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01725 per share payable to holders of record of the Company's common stock at the close of business on February 14, 2012 , to be paid on March 9, 2012 .
Steven R. Goldberg , Chief Executive Officer and President, noted, "I am pleased to report the Board's decision to increase the annualized dividend rate to $0.069 per share, a 15% increase over the prior level. This action underscores our confidence in the financial strength and growth prospects of our company in addition to providing an appropriate return to our shareholders. The Board will continue to review these and other factors in consideration of the program in the future.
Comments & Business Outlook
"As the result of Richard's eleven years directing our business, we are now one of the leading providers of petroleum product distribution services, transportation logistics and emergency response services in the country. Richard's accomplishment is particularly noteworthy since he did so notwithstanding some of the most challenging economic circumstances in history for our industry and for the economy as a whole, coupled with the burden of being a public company during periods of ever increasing regulatory scrutiny.
Full Release
Conference Call Notes
Fiscal 2011 Year End Call (September 2011)
Fixed cost model allows additonal volumes to drop to bottom line Can not rule out negative impacts from uncertain economy, but their model is such that they should be able to successfully implement its growth plan, barring an extreme economic downturn. So far, the company has not experienced any "negative economic impacts" on business Sees fiscal 2012 first quarter substantially higher than the comparable period last year Sees year end 2012 financial results materially higher then 2011
