China Marine Food Group Limited (OTC:CMFO)

WEB NEWS

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Comments & Business Outlook

SHISHI, China, Nov. 12, 2013 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited (NYSE MKT: CMFO) ("China Marine" or the "Company"), a manufacturer of Mingxiang� seafood-based snack foods, Hi-Power marine algae-based beverages and a distributor of frozen marine catch, today announced that, in connection with its previously announced voluntary delisting from the NYSE MKT, it expects its common stock to begin trading under the ticker symbol CMFO on the OTC Pink Marketplace, operated by the OTC Markets Group, commencing Wednesday, November 13, 2013. As of that date, investors and other interested parties will be able to view the stock quotes for CMFO at www.otcmarkets.com/stock/CMFO/quote. Although the Company expects to be quoted on the OTC Pink Marketplace, the Company can provide no assurance that any trading market for the Company's securities will exist on the OTC Pink Marketplace. The last day of trading of the Company's common stock on the NYSE MKT will be November 12, 2013.

The Company filed a Form 15 with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") on November 12, 2013. The Form 15 was filed in order to terminate the registration of the common stock under Section 12 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act") and the Company expects the deregistration to become effective 90 days after the filing if there are no objections from the SEC. The Company's SEC reporting obligations under Sections 13 and 15(d) of the Exchange Act, including its obligations to file annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and current reports on Form 8-K, will be immediately suspended upon filing of the Form 15 unless the SEC denies the effectiveness of the Form 15, in which case the Company would be required to file all such reports within 60 days of such denial. 


Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Investor Alert

SHISHI, China, October 23, 2013 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited (NYSE MKT: CMFO) ("China Marine" or the "Company"), a manufacturer of Mingxiang� seafood-based snack foods, Hi-Power marine algae-based beverages and a distributor of frozen marine catch, today announced that, on October 21, 2013, its board of directors concluded that voluntarily delisting the Company's common stock from the NYSE MKT and voluntarily deregistering from the reporting requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), are in the best interests of the Company. The Company is eligible to deregister its common stock because it has fewer than 300 stockholders of record.

Accordingly, the Company intends to file on or about November 1, 2013 a Form 25 with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") to voluntarily delist its common stock from the NYSE MKT and to deregister its common stock from Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act. The Company also intends to file on or about November 11, 2013 a Form 15 with the SEC to suspend the Company's reporting obligations under Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act. Immediately upon the filing of Form 15, the Company will no longer be obligated to file certain Exchange Act reports with the SEC. Following delisting and deregistering, the Company presently intends to provide quarterly and annual information regarding its performance through postings to its website.

It is expected that delisting will take effect on or about November 11, 2013, and at that time the Company's shares will no longer be traded on the NYSE MKT.

The Company's board of directors determined, after careful consideration, that voluntarily delisting and deregistering is in the overall best interests of the Company. The following factors were considered, in addition to others, by the board of directors in taking this action:

  • the cost savings that may be realized by the Company as a result of the elimination of its obligation to file reports with the SEC;
  • avoidance of costs and management's attention which are required in order to comply with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and the rules and regulations promulgated by the SEC thereunder;
  • the benefit of reallocating management personnel to devote greater attention to the Company's long-term financial results rather than short-term market concerns; and
  • release of the Company from the reporting obligations of being an Exchange Act reporting Company.

Pengfei Liu, the Company's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented, "These actions are designed to reduce our operating costs. The consequences of remaining an SEC-reporting company, which includes significant costs and management time associated with regulatory compliance, outweighed the current benefits of being a NYSE MKT listed company."


Tuesday, September 3, 2013

CFO Trail

SHISHI, China, August 31, 2013 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited (NYSE MKT: CMFO) ("China Marine" or the "Company"), a manufacturer of Mingxiang seafood-based snack foods, Hi-Power marine algae-based beverages and a distributor of frozen marine catch, today announced that Mr. Marco Ku, Chief Financial Officer, will be leaving the Company effective October 30, 2013 for personal reasons.

The Company notes that Mr. Ku resigned amicably and has no disagreements with the Company on any financial or business issues. The Company values the significant contributions made by Mr. Ku during his tenure as CFO and notes that Mr. Ku will also assist the Company until his departure while a replacement search is underway.

"On behalf of our Board of Directors and management team, we want to sincerely thank Marco Ku for his many years of service as our CFO," stated Pengfei Liu, CEO and Chairman of China Marine. "Marco has been an architect in the success of our capital raises over the past six years and he was also instrumental in our uplisting to NYSE MKT in 2009. We will provide an update on the replacement CFO as soon as information is available," Chairman Liu concluded.


Thursday, August 15, 2013

Comments & Business Outlook

Second Quarter 2013 Financial Results

  • Net revenues, including Mingxiang�-branded seafood snack foods, Hi-Power� beverages and marine catch was $27.3 million, down approximately 55.5% from $61.3 million in the prior year's period.
  • Net loss per share was $0.10 for the second quarter of 2013. Excluding the non-GAAP financial measure as mentioned above, adjusted net loss for the quarter was $1.4 million, with adjusted net loss per share of $0.05. Total shares outstanding at June 30, 2013 were 29.7 million
  • Diluted EPS* was -$0.10 vs. last years loss of -$0.06
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS** was $0.05 vs. last years -$0.03.

"Performance in the first half of the year suffered from a slowdown of consumer demand in China," began Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "Based on feedback from our distributors and our continued efforts to keep our brand and products in front of consumers, we expect that the second half of the year will continue to improve."


Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Comments & Business Outlook

First Quarter 2013 Results 

  • Total net revenues, including Mingxiang�-branded seafood snack foods, Hi-Power� beverages and marine catch was $21.5 million, up approximately 42.4% from $15.1 million in the prior year's period.
  • Gross Profit was $7.2 Million vs. last years 4.6 million an increase of 57.5%.
  • Diluted EPS was $0.02 vs. last years loss of -$0.07.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS was $0.04 vs last years loss of -$0.03 a 233.3% increase.

"After a number of difficult quarters, we are pleased to witness sales of our core product lines bounce back nicely," started Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "For the third consecutive quarter, sales of our Mingxiang� seafood snacks and Hi-Power� beverages increased year-over-year, reflecting strength in our brands. We see tremendous growth opportunities ahead, driven by further improvements in our sales force efficiency and expanded distribution in select new markets and new retail points of sale."


Monday, May 6, 2013

Auditor trail

SHISHI, China, May 6, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited (NYSE MKT: CMFO) (" China Marine " or the "Company"), a China-based manufacturer of Mingxiang� seafood-based snack foods, Hi-Power� marine algae-based beverages, and distributor of frozen marine catch, announced today that the Audit Committee of its Board of Directors has engaged BDO China Shu Lun Pan (A.K.A BDO China Li Xin) Certified Public Accountants LLP ("BDO China Shu Lun Pan"), as the Company's independent registered accounting firm. China Marine and BDO China Shu Lun Pan signed a letter of engagement on April 30, 2013.

As a result of changes in the structure of BDO offices in China, BDO China Shu Lun Pan has been appointed by BDO International Limited as the exclusive BDO Member Firm in China. The Company and BDO China Shu Lun Pan will prepare the audit and filing of the fiscal year 2013 Form 10-K and the review of its quarterly filings starting from the first quarter of fiscal year 2013.  


Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Comments & Business Outlook

Second Quarter 2012 Results

  • Total net revenues in all segments for the quarter ended June 30, 2012, including Mingxiang®-branded seafood snack foods, "Hi-Power" beverages and marine catch, was $61.3 million, up 177.7% from $22.1 million in the prior year's period.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS for the second quarter 2012 were a loss of $0.03 vs earnings of $0.07 in the prior year.

"Our second quarter results reflect a rebound in demand for 'Hi-Power' beverages and marine catch products and the revenues we can achieve with seafood trade, as we work to maintain our position in the market with consumers of our foods and beverages," explained Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "As we discussed on our year-end 2011 earnings call, we are still feeling the lingering effects in consumer perception of food and beverage safety in seafood and canned beverages from two completely unrelated instances in Japan and Taiwan. As a result, we maintained an elevated level of investments in advertisements and promotions to communicate the safety and value of our products. While certain distributors have placed reorders as they restock inventories of our seafood snack foods, overall consumer demand for seafood snacks remained well below levels prior to the Japan disaster. However, sales have rebounded nicely during the second quarter this year."


Friday, May 11, 2012

Comments & Business Outlook

First Quarter 2012 Results

  • Total net revenues in all segments for the quarter ended March 31, 2012, including Mingxiang®-branded seafood snack foods, "Hi-Power" beverages and marine catch, was $15.1 million, down 43.4% from $26.7 million in the prior year's period.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net loss of $0.8 million, or $0.03 net loss per share, compared to $6.2 million net income and $0.21 earnings per share, respectively, in the first quarter of 2011.

"Our first quarter results reflect depressed demand for our products and elevated marketing investments," explained Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "As we discussed on our year-end 2011 earnings call, we anticipated a down first quarter in 2012 as the effects of the radiation leaks in Japan and a clouding agent concern from Taiwan and China continuously affected both our Mingxiang® Food and "Hi-Power" beverage sales. As a result, we maintained an elevated level of investments in advertisements and promotions to communicate the safety and value of our products. While we have seen certain distributors place reorders as they restock inventories, overall consumer demand remained well below levels prior to the Japan disaster. However, sales have rebounded nicely in April and the early part of May."


Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Comments & Business Outlook

Fourth Quarter 2011 Results

  • Total sales increased 21.8% year-over-year to $64.3 million vs $52.8 million in prior year
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS for fourth quarter 2011 were $0.08 vs $0.24 in prior year

"We have experienced a number of extraordinary challenges this year and we are working diligently to solidify our position in the market," exclaimed Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "As a result of our increased marketing support and food safety advertising for Mingxiang® foods and the fact that none of our seafood sources were affected by the March 2011 radiation leak in Japan, we believe that our seafood sales will rebound once public concern subsides. Growth of our 'Hi-Power' beverages were also weaker than forecasted due to an incident involving tainted clouding agents for use in certain beverages in Taiwan and China in the middle of last year. Though none of our products used such agents, we were also required to make additional investments in advertising to maintain and regain consumer confidence in 'Hi-Power'. As a result of these circumstances, it was necessary we allocate significant marketing dollars to demonstrate our commitment to food safety and the quality of our products for both our beverage and food segments, simultaneously, throughout 2011. Fortunately, our push in advertising and marketing has produced an additional benefit which is greater distributor interest and trust in our Company. As a result, we expect to selectively add new distributors in step with the recovery of the domestic beverage market in China and also increase our shipments of Mingxiang-branded foods to the many distributors we have maintained for years.  Throughout 2012, we believe "Hi-Power" and Mingxiang® food sales are poised to regain the growth trajectories we have witnessed in the past."

 


Friday, November 11, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

ThirdQuarter 2011Results


 

Q3 2011

Q3 2010

CHANGE

 

Net Sales

$30.9 million

$22.7 million

+36.4%

 

Gross Profit

$7.7 million

$8.3 million

-7.5%

 

Net Income

$0.8 million

$4.2 million

-80.6%

 

Diluted EPS*

$0.03

$0.14

-78.6%

 

Adjusted Net Income**

$2.0 million

$4.8million

-57.1%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS**

$0.07

$0.16

-56.3%

 
       

"I was pleased to see a stabilization in our snackfood business since the middle of the second quarter and our growth of snackfood sales and Hi-Power through our third quarter," exclaimed Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "As a result of increased marketing support and food safety advertising for Mingxiang® foods, our seafood snack sales grew by 7.6% from the second to the third quarter, with sales in Fujian Province growing by 16.9%. "Hi-Power" sales were robust, signifying that our investments in advertising and marketing have yielded positive results. As we see more reorders and expect to selectively add new distributors, we believe "Hi-Power" sales are poised to maintain very solid growth into 2012."

2011 Guidance:

Based on current market demand, Management is reiterating full year 2011 financial guidance as follows:


Projections

% Change vs 2010

 

Consolidated Revenues:

$130+ million

+5.9%

 

Consolidated Adjusted Net Income:

$14.8 million

-37.0%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS:

$0.50

-38.3%



Monday, September 26, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

SHISHI, China, September 26, 2011 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited (NYSE Amex: CMFO) ("China Marine" or the "Company"), a China-based manufacturer of Mingxiang(R) seafood-based snack foods, "Hi-Power" marine algae-based beverages, and distributor of frozen marine catch, today provided an update on its Mingxiang(R)-branded seafood snacks business. The Company reported sales in August of $4.6 million, an approximate 4.0% increase from $4.4 million in the previous month.

Beginning in the second quarter of 2011, sales of the Company's seafood snacks were negatively impacted by consumers' concerns stemming from the nuclear disaster in Japan and the safety of ocean-based products. China Marine has taken several actions to alleviate those concerns including increased advertising and more frequent communications with its distribution partners. Sales have stabilized since June, with month-over-month data showing positive sales trends and a return of consumer confidence in July and August.

The Company is also in discussions with prospective distributors in new and existing regions sales territories. Management is committed to expanding distribution to untapped cities and provinces as a long term goal.

"We are pleased to report our seafood snack food sales have steadily improved since June," stated Chairman and CEO, Mr. Pengfei Liu. "Because we source our fish from several local areas completely unaffected by the disaster in Japan, we remain confident in the long-term health of our business and anticipate a full recovery of sales momentum for Mingxiang(R)-branded seafood snack foods. I am also encouraged with the progress we have made with our seaweed extract 'Hi-Power' beverages. Through effective in-store promotions and multimedia advertising campaigns, more consumers are buying our healthy beverages."


Monday, August 8, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

Second Quarter 2011 Highlights

  • Seafood snack sales down 30.8% as a result of temporary drop in seafood consumption in China stemming from Japan reactor incident in March. Company reports monthly sales from June through August have been stabilized and moderately improved as consumer confidence returns.
  • "Hi-Power" revenues grew 10.7% year-over-year to $8.6 million.
  • Expanded "Hi-Power" sales force to 172 people and distribution to approximately 15,000 locations.
  • $27.0 million in operating cash flow during the first six months of 2011 ended June 30, 2011, with $38.3 million in cash and cash equivalents.

Financial Summary

Second Quarter 2011 Results


 

Q2 2011

Q2 2010

CHANGE

 

Net Sales

$22.1 million

$27.6 million

-19.9%

 

Gross Profit

$7.2 million

$10.2 million

-29.9%

 

Net Income

$1.0 million

$6.8 million

-85.2%

 

Diluted EPS*

$0.03

$0.23

-87.0%

 

Adjusted Net Income**

$2.2 million

$7.4 million

-70.4%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS**

$0.07

$0.25

-72.0%

 

"Our second quarter results were negatively impacted by several short-term factors," stated Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "Sales of our seafood snacks dropped unexpectedly due to consumers' concerns regarding the safety of ocean-based products following the Japan nuclear disaster in March of this year. Though we reported our feed stocks were not affected by radiation levels, consumer demand was the ultimate vote on this subject. We believed our two major stated-owned competitors have also experienced a similar impact on their sales. While we cannot accurately predict the duration of this temporary aversion to seafood, we are encouraged by the month-over-month sales improvement in July and order bookings for shipments in August. We will continue to invest in our brand and distribution to ensure we are well-positioned for sustained growth when consumer confidence normalizes."

Revised 2011 Guidance:

As a result of the Company's view that consumer demand for seafood products will not fully recover in the 2011 calendar year, China Marine has adjusted its previously stated guidance in March of 2011. While revenues are expected to increase as a result of increased marine catch sales and "Hi-Power" sales, the mix of products margins and the Company's continued marketing and advertising costs have also contributed to an adjustment in its 2011 guidance.


Projections

% Change vs 2010

 

Consolidated Revenues:

$130+ million

+5.9%

 

Consolidated Adjusted Net Income:

$14.8 million

-37.0%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS:

$0.50

-38.3%

 
     


"While business cycles impact most industries, we have show sequential year-over-year growth for 16 years. We could not anticipate the confluence of a downturn in seafood demand as a result of a major international incident and the replacement of non-performing distributors coinciding at the same time," stated Chairman and CEO Pengfei Liu. "We have begun to see a positive trend in the sales of our seafood products by the end of second quarter. This is further substantiated by the continued moderate growth in the months of July and August for which we already have our August order backlog in hand. We are pleased with further progress with Hi-Power and expect to gain additional market share in Zhejiang province."


Thursday, June 30, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

SHISHI, China, June 30, 2011 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited (NYSE Amex: CMFO) ("China Marine" or the "Company"), a China-based manufacturer of Mingxiang® seafood-based snack foods, "Hi-Power" marine algae-based beverages, and distributor of frozen marine catch, today provided an update on its two business segments.

China Marine continues to experience solid growth in its Hi-Power algae-based beverages. Increased marketing activities have resulted in growing brand recognition and repeat orders in Fujian province. To increase geographic penetration, the Company has also expanded into the Zhejiang province through a distributor who services the Wenzhou area. The initial focus has been on stocking restaurants and canteens, with approximately 600 points of sales established to date. The Company has launched various marketing initiatives to build brand awareness and anticipates signing additional distributors in the near term. Management has been encouraged by consumer feedback and sell through has been robust.

Sales of the Company's seafood products have been adversely affected by consumers' perception of safety in relation to the nuclear disaster in Japan. Softness in sales that began in late March has persisted through the second quarter of 2011. While China Marine is confident the seafood it uses to produce Mingxiang® snack foods are safe, it is unclear how long it will take for consumer confidence in seafood products to normalize. Management will provide a detailed update when it reports its second quarter 2011 results.

"The long term fundamentals of our businesses remain strong and we are committed to continually investing behind our brands," stated Chairman and CEO, Mr. Pengfei Liu. "While we believe that these sales disruptions in our seafood products are temporary, we are working diligently to ensure the safety of our products to our customers and distributors. Hi-Power continues to gain traction and the product diversification clearly benefit the shareholders at times such as this."


Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

Financial Summary


 

First Quarter 2011 Results


 

Q1 2011

Q1 2010

CHANGE

 

Net Sales

$26.7 million

$19.7 million

+35.7%

 

Gross Profit

$9.6 million

$6.6 million

+45.5%

 

Net Income

$5.6 million

$3.9 million

+43.1%

 

Diluted EPS*

$0.19

$0.16

+18.8%

 

Adjusted Net Income**

$6.2 million

$4.5million

+38.0%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS**

$0.21

$0.18

+16.7%

 

* EPS calculated for the period is based on 29.0 million shares on March 31, 2011 versus 25.0 million shares reported on March 31, 2010.


** Adjusted Net Income and Diluted EPS are non-GAAP calculations and do not include $0.6 million of non-cash, amortization of intangible assets related to the Company's acquisition in Q1 2011 and Q1 2010, respectively. For more information about the non-GAAP financial measures contained in this press release, please see "About Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below.

 
       

Geoteam® Note: 2011 First quarter analyst EPS estimates were $0.17.

"Our first quarter results reflect strong demand for our seafood snacks and 'Hi-Power' beverages," began Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "We made solid progress by expanding distribution for 'Hi-Power' to 14,000 retail points in total. By penetrating more retail outlets, winning a broad customer base and supporting this expansion with enhanced brand building advertisements and marketing, we expect to maintain strong organic sales growth."

Business Updates:

2011 Guidance


Projections

% Change

 

Consolidated Revenues:

$150+ million

+22.3%

 

Consolidated Adjusted Net Income:

$27.3 million

+16.1%

 

Adjusted EPS:

$0.93

+14.8%


Friday, March 18, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

SHISHI, China, March 18, 2011 /PRNewswire-Asia/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited today responded to shareholder concerns over possible radiation contamination of its seafood supplies.

 

 "Our supplies of raw fish and seafood come from the Taiwan Strait, which is located between Taiwan and Fujian Province, China and thus pose no threat of contamination. In addition, this area maintains a separate ocean current from those of the East Japan Sea. According to the nuclear radiation-monitoring station in Shanghai, large-scale and long-distance radiation spread is unlikely as the primary containment vessel and fuel rods in the nuclear plant in Japan were not damaged. Under the current circumstances, only those residents within 110 miles of the nuclear plant will be affected," stated Mr. Pengfei Liu, CEO and Chairman of China Marine.

"Furthermore, there has been no disruption in the buying pattern of our customers and we do not anticipate one will occur," Mr. Liu concluded.


Thursday, March 3, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

Results for the Year:

  • Gross profit was $37.5 million, an increase of 95.8% from $19.1 million in 2009
  • Operating income for the twelve months of 2010 was $25.3 million, with operating margin of 20.7%, a 56.8% year-over-year increase from $16.2 million a year ago
  • Year-to-date 2010 GAAP net income was $21.1 million, compared to $14.6 million in the prior year's corresponding period, a 45.1% increase. Excluding the non-cash charge of $2.4 million associated to the amortization costs of the "Hi-Power" acquisition,
  • adjusted net income for the full year was $23.5 million and exceeded management expectations of $21.5 million in adjusted net income.
  • GAAP earnings per weighted average diluted shares were $0.73 based on 29.0 million fully diluted shares, while adjusted non-GAAP earnings per share were $0.81 for the twelve months period ended December 31, 2010

"2010 was a transformational year for China Marine for several reasons," began Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "First, we entered a new growth business by acquiring 'Hi-Power' beverages in January of 2010. After incorporating improved labeling and packaging, 'Hi-Power' sales exceeded our expectations during its first year where we only penetrated the Fujian market. For the two years leading up to our 'Hi-Power' acquisition, we targeted a complementary marine-based business and this turned out to be the perfect fit. This high margin business will provide further growth in 2011 and remain an important component of our financial results for years to come."

Financial Summary


 

Fourth Quarter 2010 Results

 

Q4 2010

Q4 2009

CHANGE

 

Net Sales

$52.8 million

$24.9 million

+112.2%

 

Gross Profit

$12.3 million

$5.8 million

+111.3%

 

Net Income

$6.2 million

$4.4 million

+42.9%

 

Diluted EPS*

$0.21

$0.18

+16.7%

 

Adjusted Net Income**

$6.8 million

$4.4 million

+56.7%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS**

$0.24

$0.18

+33.3%

 

 
       

   

Full Year 2010 Results

 

FY 2010

FY 2009

CHANGE

 

Net Sales

$122.7 million

$69.6 million

+ 76.3%

 

Gross Profit

$37.5 million

$19.1 million

+ 95.8%

 

Net Income

$21.1 million

$14.6 million

+ 45.1%

 

Diluted EPS*

$0.73

$0.60

+ 21.7%

 

Adjusted Net Income**

$23.5 million

$14.6 million

+ 61.4%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS**

$0.81

$0.60

+ 35.0%

 

 
       

2011 Guidance

Revenues: $150.0+ million

Adjusted Net Income: $27.3 million

Liquidity Requirements

We believe that after taking into account of our cash position, available bank facilities and cash generated from operating activities, we have adequate working capital to satisfy our current operating expenditures for the next twelve months. From time to time, we may identify new expansion opportunities for which there will be a need to use cash. We manage our cash based on thorough consideration of our corporate strategy as well as the macro economic situation. Factors we take into account when managing our cash include interest rates, foreign currency fluctuation as well as the flexibility in executing our acquisition strategy.

We are currently building the cold storage facilities adjacent to the fishing port with a capacity of approximately 20,000 tons, to take advantage of its proximity to the port where we obtain fresh marine catch to be processed into seafood products. We intend to finance the total estimated $20.0 million in land use rights and construction costs from available funds and expect to run the new facility in the second half of 2011. We have paid approximately $11.6 million in relation to the construction costs as at December 31, 2010 so as to secure the overall construction costs associated with the cold storage facilities.

After the registered direct offering of common stock and repayment of bank loans during 2010, the relative cost of capital resources decreased correspondingly given the increase in the equity financing and reduced level of debt borrowings.

Apart from the expansion plan discussed above and the commitments set out in the section of “Commitments and Contingencies” herein, we do not have any other material commitments for capital expenditures and other expenditures. We believe that the current operating activities would be able to generate adequate cash flows supporting the daily operations. We do not have any further fund raising plan at the moment


Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Comments & Business Outlook

SHISHI, China, Jan. 18, 2011 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- China Marine Food Group Limited today announced $3.2 million of Hi-Power beverage sales for the month ended December 31, 2010.

Sales of China Marine's "Hi-Power" beverages were approximately $26.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2010, exceeding previous company guidance of $23.0 to $25.0 million, driven by strong orders from current distributors as well as sales and marketing efforts on increasing new customer trials and brand awareness in the approximately 13,000 retail locations where "Hi-Power" beverages are sold. In December of 2010, the Company successfully expanded their retail locations by approximately a thousand stores.


Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Comments & Business Outlook
China Marine Food Group Limited  today announced strong sales of its "Hi-Power" beverages during October and November 2010.

Sales of China Marine's "Hi-Power" beverages were $2.5 million and $3.0 million in October and November, respectively, driven by strong re-ordering from current distributors. The Company has focused its sales and marketing efforts on increasing new customer trials and brand awareness in the approximately 12,000 retail locations where "Hi-Power" beverages are sold.

"We are pleased with the results from our focused marketing efforts and effective promotions," began Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "As an emerging beverage company in China, enticing shoppers to make initial purchases is vital to building a loyal consumer base. Such promotions have been successfully deployed with our distributors since we re-launched "Hi-Power" with new packaging and positioning as a healthy beverage in January of 2010. We have received steady re-orders from our "Hi-Power" distributors over the past two months and also witnessed healthy growth in our snack food business in the fourth quarter. We anticipate a strong finish to 2010," Liu concluded.


Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Analyst Reports

Global Hunter on CMFO (Update October 20, 2010)

Summary:

China Marine Food Group (CMFO) announced that it generated $2MM in sales of Hi-Power beverage for the month of September and raised its FY10 guidance for the drink to $23MM-$25MM from the prior $20MM, which we view as achievable. We attended the company’s Investor Day on 9/30 and came away with a positive impression of its operations and marketing campaigns. Following our visit and the company's announcement today, we are adjusting our estimates to reflect higher sales of Hi-Power beverage, higher marine catch trade expected in Q4, as well as increased marketing expenses. We continue to expect the company to deliver strong growth in the next two years given the consumer demand and distribution network expansion. Shares are trading at 7.6x and 6.0x our FY10 and FY11 EPS, respectively. We reiterate our Buy rating and $10 price target.


Highlights

Hi-Power beverage FY10 guidance raised. CMFO announced Wednesday morning that it expected the sales of its algae-based health drink, "Hi-Power", to be in the range of $23MM-$25MM for FY10, up from the prior guidance of $20MM. In the meantime, the company reported sales of $2.0MM from Hi-Power beverage during the month of September, which brought total Hi-Power sales to $6.7MM in Q3 and $17.3MM for the first nine months. As Q4 is typically a strong season for CMFO when consumers start their holiday shopping, we view the raised guidance as achievable. Hi-Power retail locations now total 12,000 retail points in Fujian. As a result of an aggressive campaign to promote its beverage products, we believe CMFO has incurred increased sales and marketing expense in Q3 versus the previous quarter.

Our recent visit to the company. We attended CMFO's Investor Day held in Xiamen and Shishi on 9/30. We visited several large retail stores such as Wal-mart and Tesco and several convenience stores in Xiamen, where Hi-Power products are displayed together with well known brands such as Redbull and Wanglaoji. We also visited a Hi-Power bottling factory and the company’s seafood snack facility. We were impressed with the company's production operation and its comprehensive marketing campaign.

Updating our FY10 outlook. Following our visit to CMFO, we are further convinced that there is sustainable growth in the company's seafood snack and Hi-power drink business. For FY10, we expect seafood snack to grow at a 30% rate and Hi-Power beverage to continue its strong momentum into Q4. We believe the company has used extra cash on hand to purchase a large amount of marine catch in Q3 and we expect a significant increase in marine catch revenue in Q4. We note that marine catch has a ~10% gross margin, versus 32-35% for seafood snack and ~40% for Hi-power drink products.

Adjusting estimates. We now anticipate higher revenues for FY10 due to a better outlook for Hi-Power beverage and significantly higher revenue expected for marine catch. We are increasing our FY10 revenue to $118MM from the prior estimate of $104MM. However, considering the company's aggressive marketing campaign for Hi-power drink, we are also substantially increasing our estimates for sales and marketing expenses. We now expect a total of $5MM in sales & market expenses in '10, versus $2.9MM we estimated previously. As a result, we are lowering our FY10 non-GAAP EPS to $0.83 from $0.90 previously. For FY11, we are raising our revenue projection from the prior $140MM to $150MM, reflecting assumptions of 25% growth for seafood snacks, 60% growth for Hi-Power drink, and roughly $25MM contribution from marine catch. Our FY11 non-GAAP EPS estimate is lowered to $1.06, from $1.08 previously, since we are also increasing sales & marketing expenses for '11 as we expect the company to expand its Hi-Power distribution to other provinces.

Reiterate Buy. We are encouraged by the execution and growth momentum of CMFO's business. We continue to expect strong growth this year and the coming year, driven by domestic demand and distribution channel expansion. Shares are trading at 7.6x our updated FY10 non-GAAP EPS and 6.0x our FY11 EPS, which we believe are undervalued. We reiterate our Buy rating and $10 price target, which is 9.4x our FY11 non-GAAP EPS estimate of $1.06.


Thursday, November 18, 2010

Analyst Reports

Rodman & Renshaw on CMFO

We are assuming coverage of China Marine Food (AMEX: CMFO, $156.1MM mkt cap) with a Market Outperform / Speculative Risk Rating and 12-month Price Target of $9. 

Investment Thesis 

We view the risk/reward as hugely attractive at the current level and see little long-term downside risk. Both Mingxiang seafood snacks and Hi-Power are, by now, proven brands capable of developing a consumer following in some of the most competitive regions such as Fujian and Zhejiang. We believe that the expansion of CMFO’s footprint into other provinces for both products is a matter of time and bandwidth rather than capability. We also favor the company’s focused approach of signing up distributors on a region-by-region basis as opposed to a less focused sprawl into multiple localities. This approach enables management to focus on strengthening local distributor bonds, incorporating feedback one region at a time, and also more efficiently leverages marketing expenditures. 

With the announcement of BDO China as its independent auditor, China Marine Food has largely put to rest investors’ concerns over its financial integrity. Furthermore, CMFO has vaccinated itself from additional scrutiny by demonstrating the ability to quickly and effectively respond to such allegations. On the business front, CMFO is simultaneously executing upon topline and margin opportunities across its seafood processing and Hi-Power (海宝) beverage line, leading to our estimate of 27.1% and 20.7% EPS growth, respectively, in 2010 and 2011. CMFO has very conservatively guided towards 43.7% revenue growth to $100MM in 2010, driven by a 23-$25MM contribution from the Hi-Power beverage line, with the remainder attributed to sales increase in dried and frozen processed seafood, and significantly higher marine catch trading revenues. Our estimate and the Street consensus reflect significant upside from the company’s guidance.

Much investor attention had centered on CMFO’s entry into the beverage market with the acquisition of Xianghe and its product Hi-Power. Monitoring reorders, channel inventory, and distributor feedback on end-consumer reception has been key in achieving success for this brand, in our view. 4Q10 should be an important checkpoint for Hi-Power, from which the effectiveness of its recent mass marketing program can be gauged. The introduction of follow-up formulations (such as a low-calorie version) and obtainment of the “Green Food” certification (which garners the product a ~5%-10% premium in ASP) present further growth and margin opportunities for the Hi-Power brand.

Market Outperform Rating and 12-Month Price Target of $9. CMFO shares are trading at 6.0x its 12-month rolling forward consensus P/E and 5.9x our 2011 EPS estimate of $0.92. This compares with the historically traded range of 5.4x – 7.9x its 12-month rolling forward P/E, averaging 6.6x. In addition, before the company’s accounting integrity was called into question in June 2010, CMFO shares, on average, traded at 7.4x its 12-month rolling forward P/E.

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This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request.

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Member FINRA.
Member SIPC.


Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Comments & Business Outlook

Third Quarter 2010 Results

 

Q3 2010

Q3 2009

CHANGE

 

Net Sales

$22.7 million

$13.4 million

+ 69.2%

 

Gross Profit

$8.3 million

$4.3 million

+ 94.2%

 

Net Income

$4.2 million

$3.2 million

+ 28.9%

 

Diluted EPS*

$0.14

$0.14

+ 1.1%

 

Adjusted Net Income**

$4.8 million

$ 3.2 million

+ 47.2%

 

Adjusted Diluted EPS**

$0.16

$0.14

+ 15.5%

 

*  EPS calculated for the period is based on 29.4 million shares on September 30, 2010 versus 23.0 million shares reported on September 30, 2009.    

** Adjusted Net Income and Diluted EPS in Q32010 are non-GAAP calculations and do not include $0.6 million of non-cash, amortization of intangible assets related to the Company's acquisition. For more information about the non-GAAP financial measures contained in this press release, please see "About Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below.

 
       

"We are pleased to announce record third quarter results, which benefitted from 31.0% organic growth in seafood snack food products line. We added an additional 100 retail points to our network and experienced year over year growth in the majority of the sales territories for our core product line," began Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "Sales of our beverage line, 'Hi-Power', exceeded our expectations as we experienced continued demand across our home province of Fujian and gained a solid understanding of the caliber of beverage distributors needed to obtain the same level of success in other markets. We also began a robust marketing campaign to foster distributor loyalty, boost brand awareness and drive new sales.  Accordingly, we increased the number of 'Hi-Power' sales and marketing staffs from 23 at the beginning of the year to 205 as of September 30, 2010. We expect continued sales growth in the fourth quarter and have increased our revenue guidance for "Hi-Power" to $23.0-$25.0 million for the year."  


Liquidity Requirements

We believe that after taking into account of our cash position, available bank facilities and cash generated from operating activities, we have adequate working capital to satisfy our current operating expenditures for the next twelve months. From time to time, we may identify new expansion opportunities for which there will be a need to use cash. We manage our cash based on thorough consideration of our corporate strategy as well as the macro economic situation. Factors we take into account when managing our cash include interest rates, foreign currency fluctuation as well as the flexibility in executing our acquisition strategy.

We believe that the current operating activities would be able to generate adequate cash flows supporting the daily operations. We do not currently have any plans for additional fund raising.


Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Comments & Business Outlook

Including the $2.0 million September sales, year-to-date sales of Hi-Power beverages were $17.3 million as of September 30, 2010.

Based on projections for the fourth quarter of 2010, China Marine has increased its revenue guidance on Hi-Power beverage sales to $23.0 to $25.0 million for the 2010 year. Hi-Power retail locations now total 12,000 retail points throughout Fujian province, an increase of 20% since the Company last reported retail end-point count.

"Sales of Hi-Power were strong the summer since consumers typically drink more liquids in these hot months," began Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine.  "As we move into winter, distribution and customer base expansion is our goal for Hi-Power and our Mingxiang®-branded foods. Cost-effective promotions, when managed in coordination with distributors, have proven to be an effective method to build our brand, expand our customer network, maintain distributor loyalty and drive sales.  We were pleased to see the results of this promotion increase our end-user network and achieve consumer recognition from our collective sponsorship of marketing campaigns during the third quarter.  We are confident in our revised revenue guidance for the year."


Monday, August 9, 2010

Comments & Business Outlook

Second Quarter 2010 Highlights:

  • Revenue was $27.6 million, up 86.8% from Q2 2009.
  • The Company expanded its retail footprint for seafood snack food  products by 400 sales points to 2,900 and sales grew 36.1% year over year.
  • Retail locations for "Hi-Power", the Company's marine algae-based beverage, crested over 10,000 retail points by the close of the second quarter 2010 while quarterly revenues grew 183.6% sequentially to $7.8 million.
  • Gross margins expanded by 379 basis points to 37.0% with operating margins of 29.0% for the quarter.
  • GAAP net income was $6.8 million, up 83.1% from Q2 2009
  • Adjusted net income was $7.4 million.
  • Earnings per diluted share were $0.26 based on 26.4 million shares; Adjusted EPS was $0.28.

"We are very pleased with our second quarter results, which was driven by 36.1% organic growth in seafood snack food products line. We added an additional 400 retail points to our network and experienced year over year growth in every sales territory for our core product line," began Mr. Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine. "Sales of our new beverage line, "Hi-Power", exceeded our expectations, as we experienced strong demand across our home province of Fujian. We expect continued sales growth for our beverage segment in the second half of the year. Accordingly, we increased the number of "Hi-Power" sales and marketing staff from 23 at the beginning of the year to 188 currently as of June 30, 2010. In our recruiting effort, we have also retained top marketing talent from well-known international beverage brands to enable us a competitive edge in this fast-growing sector. "

"Based on the Company's second quarter and year-to-date performance, China Marine is confident it will exceed its revenue guidance of $20.0 million in "Hi-Power" sales for 2010 and will update investors with an increased guidance number after it consolidates its forecasts for the second half of the year."


Monday, July 12, 2010

Comments & Business Outlook

China Marine Food issue a release confirming our alert on July 6, 2010.

On July 2 and July 8, China Marine filed two separate SEC Form 4 documents detailing Chairman Liu's share purchases of a total of 245,500 shares between at average of $3.91 and $4.34. SEC Form 4 documents must be filed with the SEC when any 10% or greater shareholder purchases or sells shares. The number of shares and price of shares are detailed on each Form 4 in addition to the name and address of the shareholder. As a result of the Chairman's purchase of shares, Mr. Liu's ownership in the Company increased from 41.4% to 42.3%.

"I am very confident in the long-term growth of our Company and firmly believe that our Company's shares are always an excellent investment," Pengfei Liu, Chairman and CEO of China Marine stated. "I am confident that equity markets in the US will improve over time while our business will also grow at a very fast rate this year and next. We have forecasted revenues from our seafood snack food business will increase more than 30% in 2010. The organic growth of our snack food segment will be accompanied by meaningful revenues and earnings contributions from our algae-based beverage, 'Hi-Power'. In the first couple of weeks of July, we have been informed that the pace of our distributors re-orders has continued into the third quarter. Our CFO and I have made a commitment to update our investors on a regular basis and look forward to detailing our upcoming orders for our beverage segment and the expansion of our distributor network in the near future."


Tuesday, July 6, 2010

Research

Overall, this is a positive development (stock buyback) in the Chinahybrid space, and we need to see more of this for investors to gain confidence in Chinese stocks.

Table I - Non-Derivative Securities Acquired, Disposed of, or Beneficially Owned
1.Title of Security
(Instr. 3)
2. Trans-
action Date (Month /Day /Year)
3. Trans-
action Code
(Instr. 8)
4. Securities Acquired (A) or Disposed of (D)
(Instr. 3, 4 and 5)
5. Amount of Securities Bene-
ficially Owned Following Reported Trans-
action(s)
(Instr. 3 and 4)
6. Owner-
ship Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I)
(Instr. 4)
Code V Amount (A) or (D) Price
COMMON STOCK, PAR VALUE $0.001 06/30/2010 P   140,500 A $3.91 11,947,037 D
COMMON STOCK, PAR VALUE $0.001 07/01/2010 P   50,000 A $4.15 11,997,037 D

see all ownership (form 4) filings from July 2, 2010.

Monday, June 14, 2010

GeoBargain Notes

Added to the GeoBargain list on May 15,2009 @ $2.70

Peak performance: Reached a high of $8.63 on January 6, 2010.
Current Price: $4.80

CMFO shares are weak today. We are speculating that this may have something to do with investor uncertainty regarding an article questioning the accuracy of CMFO reported sales numbers in the United States vs. those reported in China.  We feel it is prudent to remove CMFO from the GeoBargain list until we gather more information on this matter.  Also, 2010 analyst estimates indicate that EPS will grow less than 30%.   This is a difficult decision, but we can always revisit the story again once the dust settles.

We are working with individuals who will discuss this matter in more detail as it relates to the entire ChinaHybrid space.


Friday, April 23, 2010

Comments & Business Outlook

"Our acquisition of Xianghe complements our product line and gives us entry into new markets. Xianghe's "Hi-Power" algae-based drink is popular among health conscious consumers, a growing market segment in China," said Mr. Liu. "China Marine management will take over and manage Xianghe, and we intend to develop additional sales of "Hi-Power" algae-based drink through our Mingxiang(R) existing and expanding distribution network," Liu concluded.

After acquiring Xianghe, the Company increased its fiscal year 2010 guidance to $100.0 million in revenues and $21.5 million in net income. These guidance numbers are subject to change and before any non-cash amortization charges associated with intangible assets generated from the Xianghe acquisition.

Source: PR Newswire (March 22, 2010)


Wednesday, December 2, 2009

GeoBargain Notes

China Marine Food Group is in negotiations to purchase the algae-based beverage company Xianghe Food Science and Technology.

"Similar to China Marine, Xianghe has developed a network of distributors in the Fujian, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Hunan provinces which sell its branded product to stores, restaurant food supply dealers and the hospitality industry.

Preliminary 2010 estimates of revenues from Xianghe are over $20 million with net profit margins anticipated at 20%.  Through integrating the product into China Marine's distribution network and expanding distribution to untapped provinces in China, management expects revenues can accelerate significantly during 2010 and beyond."

We are not sure how much this positive development will add to earnings per share figures.  Much of it depends on whether or not the Company will use existing cash balances or raise equity. We have calculated that in a worst case scenario, if China Marine raised all the proceeds via an offering at $6, the transaction would be slightly accretive.

The use of existing cash balances would be the best case scenario, one in which we have calculated that the transaction will add $0.17 to EPS.  In this scenario we feel that investors may push shares to a range of $7.95 to $8.80, an increase of $1.70 to $2.55 from yesterday's levels.  Investors also need to consider the eventual synergies from this transaction due to opportunities to push respective products trough new distribution channels.

The purchase price to complete this deal is $27.8 million which the Company anticipates will be recovered in 4 years.  This implies that Xianghe could experience exceptional growth in net income in subsequent years. (With no growth in net income the pay back would be about seven years).

China Marine commented that contributions of the potential acquisition are not included in its current 2010 guidance of $80 million in revenues and $18 million in net income, giving us room for upside.

Source: PR Newswire (December 2, 2009)


Monday, August 17, 2009

Potential Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Scenarios

Added to Geo Bargain List on May 15, 2009. ($2.70). 

Data Inputs:

Fiscal Year Ends in December
2008 Tax-Adjusted Earning Per Share: $0.37

Date 5/15/09 8/14/09
Price $2.70 $5.38
12 Months Trailing EPS a $0.39 $0.41
Implied 2009 EPS Based on Company Guidance a,b $0.50 $0.50
2009 EPS Growth Rate Based on Company Guidance  29% 29%
Trailing P/E Ratio 6.92 13.12
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) 0.24 0.45

a CMFO is not paying a full U.S. tax rate. Therefore, all EPS numbers have been adjusted by the GeoTeam® to reflect a tax rate of 36%.

b
The company issued net income guidance of $14.3 million, but did not provide EPS guidance.  The GeoTeam® used the 2008 year ending outstanding share count of 23,010,842 to calculate an implied EPS figure.  Commentary in the company's March 31 10Q, page 58 infers that dilution from capital raises may not be an issue:

"We believe that the current operating activities would be able to generate adequate cash flows supporting the daily operations. We do not have any fund raising plan at the moment."

It should be noted that the company does have 2 million outstanding warrants with an exercise price of $4.20.  This could come into play if the stock gains momentum.

Short-Term Valuation Scenarios

Date 5/15/09 8/14/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS $9.75 $10.25
Price Based on P/E of 20 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS $7.80 $8.20
Price Based on P/E of 15 on 2009 Company EPS Guidance  $7.50 $7.50

Long-Term (12 Months Forward) Valuation Scenarios

Date 5/15/09 8/14/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on 2009 Implied Company EPS Guidance  $12.50 $12.50
Price Based on P/E of 20 on 2009 Implied Company EPS Guidance  $10.00 $10.00

Peg Ratio Analysis - Common rule of thumb that PEG ratio should be less than 1.0

PEG Ratio Less than 1? YES

These scenarios are not investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines.  They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions.


Financials
2nd QUARTER 2009 vs. 2008 FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT ENDED JUNE

  2bd Quarter 2009 2nd Quarter 2008 Period Change
GAAP Revenue $14.8 million $13.1 million 12.9%
GAAP EPS $0.16 $0.14 14.3%
Tax Rate 12.6% 12.9% 00.0%
Fully Tax-Adjusted EPS a $0.123 $.108 13.9%
Fully Diluted Shares 23,026,301 25,196,105 -8.6%

Source: See Release, August 11, 2009

1st QUARTER 2009 vs. 2008 FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT ENDED March

  1st Quarter 2009 1st Quarter 2008 Period Change
GAAP Revenue $16.5 million $10.8 million 52.8%
GAAP EPS $0.14 $0.11 27.3%
Tax Rate 12.00% 13.00% -7.7%
Fully Tax-Adjusted EPS a $0.106 $0.084 26.2%
Fully Diluted Shares 23,026,301 25,142,105  -9.2%

Source: See Release



FULL YEAR 2008 vs. 2007 FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT ENDED DECEMBER


  Full Year 2008 Full Year 2007 Period Change
GAAP Revenue $48.8 million $36.4 million 34.1%
GAAP EPS $0.48 $0.34 41.2%
Tax Rate 13.00% 12.00% 8.3%

Fully Tax-Adjusted EPSa

$0.37 $0.26 42.3%
Fully Diluted Shares 23,010,842 25,142,105 -9.3%

Source: See Release

a For valuation purposes the GeoTeam® prefers to adjust EPS to reflect a standard United States rate.


GeoBargain Notes

China Marine Food reported its 2009 second quarter financial results last week.

Highlights

  • Revenues increased by 12.9% to $14.8 million
  • Earnings per share increased by 14% % to $0.13 million

The GeoTeam® was hoping for a slightly better EPS performance.  However, the company maintained its previously issued financial guidance of revenues in excess of $60.0 million and net income in excess of $14.3 million.  Guidance implies a 2009 EPS growth rate of ~30%, which still qualifies the stock as a GeoBargain.

Related Links
Updated Financial Table
Updated Valuation Scenarios


Friday, May 22, 2009

Research

GeoNuggets® - Quick Check Lists Highlighting Undiscovered Opportunities

China Marine Foods Group Ltd. (OTCBB:CMFO)

Company Description: China Marine Foods is a seafood producer engaged in the processing, distribution and sale of processed seafood products under the "Mingxiang" brand, as well as the sale of marine catch.

Data Ended 5/20/09 (See footnotes a & b)

  • Price = $3.15
  • Trailing EPS = $0.51
  • Fully-Taxed Trailing EPS = $0.39
  • Implied Guidance= $0.62
  • Implied Fully-Taxed EPS Guidance= $0.50
  • P/E Based on Fully-Taxed Trailing EPS = 8.08
Reasons for Optimism
  1. The company meets 9 out of 10 GeoBargain® Requirements

      Requirement Comments
    Yes Recent 52-week High Must Reach $3.50
    Yes 30% EPS Growth Rate a,b
    • 1st. Qtr. 2009 EPS increased 27%.
    • Full year 2009 guidance implies EPS growth rate of 29%.
    Yes 10% Revenue Growth
    • 1st. Qtr. 2009 Revenue increased 25%.
    • Full year 2009 guidance implies a revenue growth rate of 23%.
    Yes Strong Balance Sheet  
      Positive Operating Cash Flow $7 Million as of 1st. Qtr. 2009
      Debt to Equity Ratio less than 20% 0%
      Current Ratio is at least 2:1 7:1
    No Return on Equity is at least 15% for Trailing Four Quarters 19.14%
    No Minimum Pre-tax Operating Margins of 8% 22% as of 1st Qtr. 2009
    Yes Preferably Under 50 Million Shares Outstanding 23 Million as of 1st Qtr. 2009
    Yes High Insider Ownership (generally greater than 15%) 51% as of Dec. 2008
    No Limited Institutional Ownership  
    Yes P/E Divided by EPS Growth Rate (PEG Ratio) is Less Than 1.a,b 0.28

  2. As it operates in the food sector, China Marine Foods may have some recession resistant characteristics.  This situation is beneficially magnified because the Company's  revenues from its processed food lines have been mostly from domestic sales, helping to insulate them from the global economic slowdown. China Marine Food's most recent 10-K illustrates that for the past 3 years the domestic market has accounted for between 98 to 99 percent of revenues.

    Dried Processed Seafood Products, Years Ended December 31*

      2008 (%) 2007 (%) 2006 (%)
    PRC 99.2 99.3 98.8
    Export Sales 0.8 0.7 1.2
    *Source: 10-K, 2008

  3. The recently initiated guidance implies a 2009 EPS growth rate of 29%. It is important to note that, while the EPS growth rate is just below the GeoTeam® minimum requirement of 30%, the company commented, during its first quarter conference call, that it has been conservative in its assumptions.

  4. China Marine Foods has a wide distribution network, enabling it to maintain its competitive advantage in the industry. The company's 18 distributors allow it to sustain a market infiltration to over 1400 retail points throughout China and other countries. Major supermarkets and retailers such as Wal-Mart and Carrefour are among the end points for China Marine's products.

    Additionally, China Marine Foods qualifies its distributors by making sure they follow a prescribed protocol, selecting them based on strong financial backgrounds, networks, reputations and marketing strategies.

  5. The Company has taken the necessary steps to meet industry quality standards.
  • China Marine is HAACP (Hazardous Analysis and Critical Control Point) Certified, meaning that it must follow a strict protocol to ensure the best quality of its food. This fact is impressive since HAACP certification is a designation required in the United States and Europe, but not in China.
  • China Marine products are Green Food Certified.

Potential Valuation Scenarios if the company can achieve its EPS growth goals

Short-Term Potential value based on fully taxed adjusted trailing EPS a

P/E 25 * $0.39 = $9.75
P/E 20 * $0.39 = $7.80

Short-term Potential value based on 2009 fully taxed adjusted Implied EPS Guidance a,b

P/E 15 * $0.50 = $7.5

a CMFO is not paying a full U.S. tax rate. Therefore, all EPS numbers have been adjusted by the GeoTeam® to reflect a U.S. tax rate of 36%.

b The company issued net income guidance of $14.3 million, but did not provide EPS guidance. The GeoTeam® used the2008 year ending outstanding share count of 23,010,842 to calculate an implied EPS figure. Commentary in the company's March 31 10Q, page 58 infers that dilution from capital raises may not be an issue:

"We believe that the current operating activities would be able to generate adequate cash flows supporting the daily operations. We do not have any fund raising plan at the moment."


It should be noted that the company does have 2 million outstanding warrants with an exercise price of $4.20.  This could come into play if the stock gains momentum.

These scenarios are not intended to be investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines. They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions.


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