Orchids Paper Products Co. (NYSE AMEX:TIS)

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Monday, August 3, 2009

Valuation Scenarios:

Coded as a GeoBargain on February 4, 2009 at a price of $9.74

Data Inputs:

Fiscal Year Ends in December

Date	2/26/09	4/25/09	08/03/09
Price	$1.98	$17.10	$22.85
12 Months Trailing EPS	$0.79	$1.12	$1.53
Published 2009 Analyst EPS Estimates	$1.40	$1.73	$2.07
Future EPS Growth Rate Based on 2009 Estimates	78%	119%	140%
Trailing P/E Ratio	12.63	15.27	14.93
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate)	0.63	0.13	0.11

Short-Term Valuation Scenarios

Date	2/26/09	4/25/09	05/03/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$19.75	$25.00	$38.25
Price Based on P/E of 20 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$15.8	$22.40	$30.60
Price Based on P/E of 15 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$21.0	$25.95	$31.05 ^a

^a Based on 2009 analyst estimates

Long-Term (12 Months Forward) Valuation Scenarios

Date	2/26/09	4/25/09	05/03/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on 2009 Analyst EPS Estimates	$35.00	$43.25	$51.75
Price Based on P/E of 20 on 2009 Analyst EPS Estimates	$28.0	$34.60	$41.40

Peg Ratio Analysis - Common rule of thumb that PEG ratio should be less than 1.0

PEG Ratio Less than 1?

YES

These scenarios are not investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines. They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions.

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Thursday, February 26, 2009

Valuation Scenarios

Data Inputs:

Fiscal Year Ends in December

Date	2/26/09
Price	$9.98
12 Months Trailing EPS	$0.79
Published 2009 Analyst EPS Estimates	$1.40
Future EPS Growth Rate Based on Estimates	78%
Trailing P/E Ratio	12.63
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate)	0.16

Short-Term Valuation Scenarios

Date	2/26/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$19.75
Price Based on P/E of 20 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$15.80
Price Based on P/E of 15 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$21.00

Long-Term (12 Months Forward) Valuation Scenarios

Date	2/26/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on 2009 Analyst EPS Estimates	$35.0
Price Based on P/E of 20 on 2009 Analyst EPS Estimates	$28.0

Peg Ratio Analysis - Common rule of thumb that PEG ratio should be less than 1.0

PEG Ratio Less than 1?

YES

These scenarios are not investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines. They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions.

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