On May 2, 2013, General Steel Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) was notified by NYSE Regulations, Inc. that it is not in compliance with the continued listing standard set forth in the Listed Company Manual, Section 802.01E (“Section 802.01E”) of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc. (the “NYSE”). Such noncompliance is based on the Company’s failure to timely file its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012 (the “Annual Report”). The Company was required to file its Annual Report on or before April 16, 2013 (the “Filing Due Date”), since a Form 12b-25 was timely filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) to extend the original due date.
In accordance with NYSE procedures, the Company is required to contact the NYSE to discuss the status of the Annual Report filing and to issue a press release pertaining to the late filing by the fifth business day following the receipt of the NYSE notification. The Company has contacted the NYSE to inform them of the filing status and also, as described below in Item 8.01, filed a press release within the five day period. The Company has six months from the Filing Due Date to cure this deficiency. Subject to the NYSE’s on-going oversight and review, the Company can regain compliance at any time during the six-month cure period once it files its Annual Report with the SEC. In the event that the Company has failed to cure the deficiency by the expiration of the six-month cure period, the NYSE may grant, at its discretion, a further extension of up to six months trading period, depending on the specific circumstances.
The Company’s common stock remains listed on the NYSE under the symbol “GSI,” but continues to be assigned an “LF” indicator by the NYSE to signify that the Company’s late filing status.
BEIJING, May 6, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or the "Company") (NYSE: GSI), a leading non-state-owned steel producer in China, today announced it remains confident to file its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012, along with 2012 Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") on or before June 21, 2013.
Consistent with General Steel's press release on April 3, 2013 and as disclosed in its Form 12b-25 filed on April 2, 2013, the Company's independent registered public accounting firm is currently reviewing General Steel's 2012 financial statements. The Company anticipates filing its 2012 Annual Report on Form 10-K, along with Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2012, June 30, 2012 and September 30, 2012, with the SEC by June 21, 2013.
John Chen, Chief Financial Officer of General Steel, stated, "We have proactively communicated with the SEC and NYSE about our filing plans. I'm pleased with the notable progress in our auditors' ongoing review of General Steel's 2012 financial results, and we are on schedule with our planned filing date."
On May 2, 2013, the Company received a notification from the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE"), indicating General Steel is currently not in compliance with the NYSE's continued listing requirements due to the delay in filing the Company's 2012 Annual Report by April 16, 2013. Under the NYSE Listed Company Manual and subject to the NYSE's on-going oversight or review, General Steel has a six-month period from April 16, 2013 to file its 2012 Annual Report on Form 10-K with the SEC in order to regain compliance with the NYSE's continued listing standards.
This notification has no immediate impact on the listing or trading of General Steel's common stock on the NYSE, and the Company does not anticipate this matter will materially affect its customer relationships, the underlying fundamentals and cash flows of the Company, or its business.
BEIJING, April 3, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or the "Company") (NYSE: GSI), a leading non-state-owned steel producer in China, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") a Form 12b-25 pertaining to its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012. The Company today also announced certain preliminary financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012.
The Company expects to file the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012, along with the Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2012, June 30, 2012 and September 30, 2012, with the SEC on or beforeJune 21, 2013.
"We are pleased with the progress made with our auditor, continuing the momentum of our recently completed 2011 audit and soon returning General Steel to a regular financial reporting schedule," said Henry Yu , Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of General Steel. "Our preliminary results for 2012, though constrained by a challenging year, still provide us with encouraging signs that we believe will enable us to regain a strong position and improve profitability."
General Steel expects to report 2012 total sales in the range of $2.6 billion to $2.9 billion and sales volume in the range of 5.2 million to 5.6 million metric tons. Gross margin is expected to be in the range of 1.0% to 1.2%, compared to negative 2.5% in the prior year. As of December 31, 2012, the Company had cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash of approximately $370 million. These financial results are preliminary and unaudited. Final, audited results will be included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012.
John Chen , Chief Financial Officer of General Steel, added, "We are glad to see the company getting back to regular financial reporting. Overall, 2012 was a painful year for the entire industry, as China's major steel producers on average saw a 98% year-over-year decline in profitability, according to industry statistics[1]. Despite such difficult environment, we believe General Steel performed comparatively better in 2012, as we were able to return to positive gross margin for the full year. Our improved gross margin reflects our focus on cost efficiency, and we aim to continue building on that momentum."
BEIJING, Feb. 15, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or the "Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that it has filed its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"). The Company's independent registered public accounting firm, Friedman LLP has expressed an unqualified audit opinion on the Company's annual financial statement for the 12 months ended December 31, 2011.
With the filing of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, the Company believes it has met the New York Stock Exchange's ("NYSE") extended deadline and expects to regain compliance with the NYSE's continued listing requirement for annual report filings under Section 802.01E of the NYSE Listed Company Manual.
"The filing of our 2011 Annual Report demonstrates our commitment to proper financial reporting, and is the result of a concerted effort by our finance team and audit firm partners. Although the review and audit process for our 2011 financial statements took much longer than originally anticipated, we are pleased that we will regain compliance with the NYSE's Annual Report listing requirements," said Henry Yu, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of General Steel. "Moving ahead, we will continue to focus on our business while we work diligently to prepare our 2012 financial statements and bring General Steel fully current in its SEC filing obligations. Again, I would like to thank our team for their tremendous work and dedication to completing this process, as well as our shareholders for their ongoing support of the Company."
Full Year 2011 Financial Review
Fourth Quarter 2011 Financial Review
Second Quarter 2011 Financial Summary
Third Quarter 2011 Financial Summary
"The completion of these financial reports marks an important step forward for General Steel. Our finance team and audit partners continue to work diligently to complete the additional quarterly and annual filings to bring the Company current in its reporting obligations and to regain compliance with NYSE continued listing requirements," said Henry Yu, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of General Steel. "We have made a great deal of operational progress. I believe that our business is markedly stronger as a result of favorable trends in our core market of Western China, as well as internal measures we have taken to improve our business at the manufacturing level and elsewhere. I would like to thank our team for their tireless efforts to complete these filings and our shareholders for their continued support of the Company."
General Steel is currently preparing its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 and expects to file it around February 15, 2013. General Steel is also preparing its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the first, second and third quarters of 2012, and plans to file these reports with the SEC as soon as practicable.
On December 19, 2012, the Company’s Audit Committee of the Board of Directors approved the dismissal of PwC as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. The Company notified PwC of its dismissal on December 19, 2012.
PwC was engaged as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm on December 31, 2010 for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2011. As previously disclosed, PwC began providing audit services in the second fiscal quarter of 2011. Through the date of its dismissal by the Audit Committee, PwC had not completed its audit or provided a report on the financial statements of the Company for such period, or any other period.
In connection with the audit of the Company’s financial statements for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2011 and the interim periods through the date of PwC’s dismissal, there was a disagreement between the Company and PwC, which was resolved by the Company seeking guidance from the Office of Chief Accountant of the Commission (the “OCA”) and the OCA provided guidance on April 20, 2012 to the satisfaction of the Company and PwC. The disagreement pertained to the accounting treatment for certain costs incurred and reimbursements received in connection with the construction of equipment by Shaanxi Iron and Steel Group, Co., Ltd. Prior to the resolution of the disagreement, the Company’s Audit Committee discussed the above disagreement with PwC. The Company has also authorized PwC to respond fully to any inquiries of the Company’s successor independent registered public accounting firm concerning the subject matter of the disagreement.
BEIJING, December 19, 2012 /PRNewswire/ - General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or the "Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that its Audit Committee of the Board of Directors has appointed Friedman LLP ("Friedman") as the Company's independent registered public accounting firm. Friedman is replacing PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian CPAs Limited Company ("PwC"). The appointment of Friedman is effective immediately.
The change in auditors was not due to any disagreement between the Company and PwC on any matter of accounting principles or practices, financial statement disclosure, or auditing scope or procedures.
The Company intends on remaining listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE"), which requires it meet the filing extension date for the Annual Report set by NYSE, although the Company is subject to ongoing assessment by NYSE. Therefore, the Audit Committee, after consultation with Friedman, determined that Friedman provides the best chance of completing the Annual Report audit by the extension date.
"We have been proactively updating the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and the NYSE on the current status of the Company's filings, as well as with our plans to change auditors," said Mr. Henry Yu, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of General Steel. "We look forward to moving past this filing delay and returning to a regular reporting schedule."
Friedman will begin its audit of General Steel's Annual Report, as well as complete its review of the Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended June 30, 2011 and September 30, 2011. Following the completion of these filings, General Steel will work with Friedman to file its 2012 Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q with the SEC as soon as possible.
BEIJING, October 15, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or the "Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that it has received a four-month extension for continued listing and trading of the Company's stock on the New York Stock Exchange (the "NYSE").
As previously disclosed, the Company is not in compliance with Section 802.01E of the NYSE's Listed Company Manual ("Section 802.01E") based on its delay in filing its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 (the "Annual Report") on or before its April 16, 2012 (the "Filing Due Date"). Section 802.01E allows the Company six months from the Filing Due Date to cure such deficiency. At its discretion, the Exchange may allow a company's securities to be traded for up to an additional six-month trading period depending on the company's specific circumstances.
On October 9, 2012, the Company submitted a request to the NYSE to extend its cure period for an additional four months. On October 12, 2012, the NYSE approved such request and granted the Company an additional four-month trading period to February 15, 2013, subject to ongoing reassessment, to complete and file its Annual Report with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"). General Steel expects to file the Annual Report on or prior to February 15, 2013.
"We are delighted that the NYSE has granted us further extension for our filings and we continue to work closely with auditors to complete this process," said Mr. Henry Yu, General Steel Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. "Our business remains healthy and we have continued to progress our operational goals. In 2012, we have implemented new manufacturing efficiencies, initiated construction plans to expand and upgrade our rebar production line, improved our coke sourcing capabilities and strengthened our relationships with state-owned enterprises. These initiatives help to fortify our business and are designed to reduce our manufacturing and transportation costs, expand our presence in Western China and improve our margins."
BEIJING, October 4, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or the "Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that it has regained compliance with minimum share price criteria required by the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") for continued listing of the Company's shares.
As previously disclosed, the Company received a notice from the NYSE on March 30, 2012 that its common shares closed with an average bid price below $1.00 for 30 consecutive trading days, the threshold requirement for continued listing of the Company's shares on the NYSE. The Company was granted a cure period of six months in order to regain compliance with the requirement for continued listing set forth in section 802.01C of the NYSE's Listed Company Manual.
On October 2, 2012, the Company received confirmation from the NYSE that it had regained compliance with continued listing standards under section 802.01C after its average closing share price for the 30 trading days ended September 30, 2012 and its closing price on September 30, 2012 exceeded $1.00.
The Company continues to work toward regaining compliance with the NYSE listing standard under Section 802.01E related to the filing of its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 ("Annual Report"). The Company is working diligently with its independent registered public accountant, PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian CPAs Limited Company ("PwC") to complete the audit for the Annual Report and file the Annual Report as soon as possible.
BEIJING, August 30, 2012 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or "the Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that it has filed amended annual reports on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2010 and amended quarterly reports on Form 10-Q/A for the quarters ended June 30, 2010, September 30, 2010 and March 31, 2011 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC").
With these restatements complete, the Company is focused on the audit process on its outstanding financial statements and expects to file its quarterly reports on Form 10-Q for the periods ended June 30, 2011, September 30, 2011, March 31 and June 30, 2012, as well as its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 with SEC as soon as possible.
"We view the completion of these amended filings as an important step forward for our Company and are grateful for the tremendous effort put forth by our finance team, our auditors and the OCA staff over the last year that has enabled us to reach this stage in the process," said John Chen, Chief Financial Officer of General Steel. "We continue to move ahead and look forward to completing our outstanding filings."
Henry Yu, Chief Executive Officer of General Steel added, "While our finance team has been intently focused on resolving these accounting issues, we have made great progress toward strengthening our operational capabilities to support the Company's long-term growth. Our business and strategy remain on track, and we are poised to benefit from the ongoing investment in the development of China's Greenfield Western region. We have a solid reputation throughout the industry, partnerships with leading government-owned entities and a meaningful geographic advantage. We look forward to leveraging these strengths to advance our business and help build shareholder value."
As previously disclosed, these amended filings follow a reassessment of the accounting treatment for certain reimbursements received from June 2009 to March 2011 with regard to General Steel's collaboration with Shaanxi Iron and Steel Group, Co. Ltd. ("Shaanxi Steel") on the construction of manufacturing equipment by Shaanxi Steel at the Longmen Joint Venture facility. Following discussions with its current and former auditors and guidelines from the Office of the Chief Accountant of the SEC, the Company concluded that, except for the reimbursement for site preparation costs, the amount of reimbursement previously recorded as income should be deferred and recognized as a component of the property that was sub-leased during construction, to be amortized to income over the remaining term of the 40-year sub-lease. This deferral had no impact on the Company's previously reported revenue or cash balances.
BEIJING, June 9, 2012 /PRNewswre-Asia-FirstCall/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or the "Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that it will restate the accounting treatment for certain reimbursements received related to its collaboration with Shaanxi Iron and Steel Group, Co. Ltd. ("Shaanxi Steel") on the construction of equipment by Shaanxi Steel during the period from June 2009 to March 2011.
The Company will restate its 2009 and 2010 financial statements in an amended Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2010 and amended quarterly reports on Form 10-Q/A for the quarters ended June 30, 2010, September 30, 2010 and March 31, 2011. Following the restatements, the Company will file its outstanding 2011 quarterly reports on Form 10-Q for the periods ended June 30, 2011, September 30, 2011 and March 31, 2012, as well as its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011. The Company expects to file these documents with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") as soon as practicable and regain compliance with the continued listing standards of the New York Stock Exchange.
"I am grateful for the tremendous effort put forth by our finance team since the second quarter of 2011, and our collective diligence and proactive consultation with the Office of the Chief Accountant of the SEC, which have enabled us to reach this outcome. With this solution in-hand, we are prepared to move forward to complete the outstanding filings as soon as possible," said John Chen, Chief Financial Officer of General Steel. "While the delays caused by these restatements were unfortunate, we believe the process was ultimately beneficial and will enable us to continue to adhere to the highest standards of accounting policies and internal controls. Our business remains strong and we look forward to reporting our results and continuing to build shareholder value." Full Release
Item 3.01. Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing.
On April 17, 2012, General Steel Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) was notified by NYSE Regulations, Inc. that it is not in compliance with the continued listing standard set forth in the Listed Company Manual, Section 802.01E (“Section 802.01E”) of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc. (the “NYSE”). Such noncompliance is based on the Company’s failure to timely file its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 (the “Annual Report”). The Company was required to file its Annual Report on or before April 16, 2012 (the “Filing Due Date”), since a Form 12b-25 was timely filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) to extend the original due date.
In accordance with NYSE procedures, the Company is required to contact the NYSE to discuss the status of the Annual Report filing and to issue a press release pertaining to the late filing by the fifth business day following the receipt of the NYSE notification. The Company has contacted the NYSE to inform them of the filing status and also, as described below in Item 8.01, filed a press release within the five day period. The Company has six months from the Filing Due Date to cure this deficiency. The Company can regain compliance at any time during the six-month cure period once it files its Annual Report with the SEC. In the event that the Company has failed to cure the deficiency by the expiration of the six-month cure period, the NYSE may grant, at its discretion, a further extension of up to six months trading period, depending on the specific circumstances.
The Company’s common stock remains listed on the NYSE under the symbol “GSI,” but will be assigned a “LF” indicator by the NYSE to signify that the Company’s late filing status.
On March 30, 2012, General Steel Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) was notified by the NYSE Regulations, Inc. that it is not in compliance with the continued listing standard set forth in the Listed Company Manual, Section 802.01C (“Section 802.01C”) of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc. (the “NYSE”). Such noncompliance is solely based on the Company’s average closing share price for the prior 30 trading-day period being below the required $1.00 as of March 29, 2012. On March 30, 2012, the Company had also issued a press release announcing, among other things, its expected receipt of such NYSE notification.
In accordance with NYSE procedures, the Company has six months from the receipt of the notice on March 30, 2012 to cure this deficiency. The Company can regain compliance at any time during the six-month cure period if on the last trading day of any calendar month during the cure period it has a closing share price of at least $1.00 and an average closing share price of at least $1.00 over the 30 trading-day period ending on the last trading day of that month. In the event that the Company has failed to cure the deficiency by the expiration of the six-month cure period, the NYSE will commence suspension and delisting procedures.
BEIJING, March 27, 2012 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or "the Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that the Company's Board of Directors has approved a new share repurchase program.
Under the terms of the newly authorized repurchase program, General Steel may repurchase up to an aggregate of 2,000,000 shares of the Company's common stock. The repurchases may be made from time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions in accordance with applicable federal securities laws. The program does not have an expiration date and the timing of the repurchases and the exact number of shares of common stock to be purchased will be determined by the management of the Company, in their discretion, and will depend upon market conditions and other factors. General Steel plans to fund repurchases made under this program from its available cash balance.
As of March 27, 2012, the Company had purchased 1,090,978 shares of common stock in open market transactions under the previous share repurchase program announced on December 21, 2010. Together with the previous share repurchase program and this newly announced repurchase program, the Company may repurchase up to 4 million shares of common stock.
"Demand for our steel products remains strong as China continues to invest in developing the infrastructure of its Western rural areas," said General Steel's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Henry Yu. "We believe our board's approval of this new share repurchase program reflects confidence in the future growth potential of our business. The current market price permits an attractive opportunity for the Company to re-invest in the Company's own stock and indicates our commitment to increasing shareholder value."
Rodman and Renshaw on GSI 8/17/2011
10-Q Not Filed in Time; Putting Rating Under Review
10-Q Not Filed In Time
General Steel Holdings (“General Steel”, Ticker: GSI) did not file its 2Q11 Form 10-Q with the SEC before the deadline. As an accelerated filer, General Steel was initially obligated to file its Form 10-Q within 40 days after the end of its fiscal quarter. On August 10, the company submitted a notification of late filing to the SEC, which would give it an additional 5 days to file its quarterly report. That moved the filing deadline to August 15. As of today, the company still has not filed its 10-Q. In the morning of August 15, General Steel did issue a press release and hold a conference call announcing and discussing its 2Q11 financial performance. The press release included various financial result figures, but was without detailed financial statements. Management indicated during the conference call and subsequent discussions that the company’s new auditor, PWC Zhong Tian, which commenced service for the company for the first time during the quarter, had some disagreements with the company on the accounting treatment of various financial statement items. We believe this was the major reason for the filing delay.
Rating Under Review
We are putting General Steel’s rating under review from our previous rating of Market Outperform based on uncertainties related to the 10-Q delay. We hope the company will resolve this issue in an expedited manner, and we shall revisit our rating once the company successfully completes its quarterly filing.
Company Description
Headquartered in Beijing, General Steel Holdings, Inc. is a non-state owned steel enterprise in China. Originally founded in 1989 as one of China’s first non-government owned steel companies, the company now owns diversified steel holdings in the country, and serves various industries that include infrastructure construction, real estate, energy transport, and agricultural equipment. The company’s main products include rebar, hot-rolled carbon and silicon steel sheets, double spiral-weld pipes, and high speed wire. The company has controlling interest in four steel-related subsidiaries: General Steel (China), Baotou Steel – General Steel Special Steel Pipe Joint Venture, Shaanxi Longmen Iron and Steel, and Maoming Hengda Steel.
Risks
Major risks to the company include macroeconomic risk, commodity price and raw material risks, market oversupply of low-end steel products, concentrated customer base, execution risk, especially related to acquisitions, as well as country and political risks related to operating in China.Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality:This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request.Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s).Member FINRA.Member SIPC.
Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality:This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request.Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s).Member SIPC.Member FINRA.
Second Quarter 2011 Results
"The second quarter of 2011 was one in which we had a number of milestone achievements, including our first-ever quarter of over $1 billion in revenue, significant expansion of our crude steel production capacity and ongoing efficiency improvements, all of which position the Company well for continued success going forward," said General Steel Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Henry Yu. "Although our bottom line was negative primarily due to commencement of the operation of new equipment at Longmen Joint Venture and increased operating expenses associated with the overall expansion of our business, we view these as strategic investments that will bear significant fruit over the long-term. As the operating efficiency of this equipment continues to improve and we continue executing on our initiatives to improve raw material sourcing and energy efficiency, we are confident in the Company's ability to improve margins and generate sustainable profitability going forward."
"Demand in China for construction-grade steel was strong throughout the second quarter, and has remained solid into the early part of the third quarter. In addition to continued investment in infrastructure and transportation, the government has made the construction of low-income housing a high priority, with the goal of building 10 million state-subsidized housing units this year. As the largest rebar provider in the Shaanxi region, with annual capacity of seven million metric tons of crude steel, we believe these initiatives will support stable demand for our products, and enable GSI to increase our share in these and other end markets." Mr. Yu concluded.
BEIJING, June 1, 2011 /PRNewswire-Asia/ -- General Steel Holdings, Inc. ("General Steel" or "the Company") (NYSE: GSI), one of China's leading non-state-owned producers of steel products and aggregators of domestic steel companies, today announced that its Board of Directors has authorized an increase of one million (1,000,000) shares of its common stock which may be purchased under the Company's share repurchase program (the "Program") launched in December 2010, bringing the total authorized shares of Company common stock available for purchase under the Program to two million (2,000,000).
The newly authorized repurchases may be made from time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions in accordance with applicable federal securities laws. General Steel plans to fund the increase of repurchases from its available cash balance. The newly authorized shares available for repurchase do not have an expiration date, and the timing of the repurchases and the exact number of shares of common stock to be purchased will be determined by the management of the Company, in their discretion, and will depend upon market conditions and other factors.
The Company also announced that it has completed the repurchase of the initial one million shares of its common stock authorized under the Program as of May 31, 2011.
"Repurchasing shares is part of General Steel's continued commitment to enhancing shareholder return on equity. Given the continued progress of our business with expanded capacity and improved operational efficiency, we believe that our stock is undervalued and represents a compelling buying opportunity for both our Company and our shareholders," said General Steel's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Henry Yu. "We have made meaningful operational and financial improvements, with four consecutive quarters of margin improvement and two consecutive quarters of profitability, along with significant top-line growth. In addition, our recent strategic alliance with the Shaanxi Coal and Shaanxi Steel has positioned the Company well for sustainable, profitable growth through capacity expansion, efficiency improvements and beneficial raw material purchasing terms. We have a clear and achievable growth strategy for 2011 that we have effectively carried out to date. Based on our accomplishments thus far and our outlook for the remainder of 2011, we believe that the repurchase of our shares represents a prudent investment and effective use of capital."
For the first quarter of 2011, General Steel increased its revenue by 57% year-over-year to $710.5 million. Net income attributable to the Company for the first quarter of 2011 was $2.6 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $(5.5) million, or $(0.11) per diluted share in the first quarter of 2010.
Rodman and Renshaw on GSI 6/1/2011
Another 1 million-share Buyback
General Steel Holdings (“General Steel”, Ticker: GSI, Market Outperform) announced today that it will buy back an additional 1 million shares of its common stock on top of the 1 million shares that it has recently bought back. The repurchase plan for this second 1 million-share batch does not have an expiration date.
Our Take
We are encouraged by this shareholder-friendly announcement as we believe it suggests the management is sensitive to the share price movement and is trying to be proactive. The shares of General Steel are currently trading at approximately 4x its 2011 earnings. Buying back shares at this valuation level makes sense for the company, in our opinion. With $292.3 million of cash and restricted cash at the end of March, General Steel certainly has sufficient funds to conduct this buyback. The company announced the first 1 million-share repurchase plan in December 2010 and has already completed the buyback. This leads us to believe that the second 1-million phase could also take place in a fairly timely fashion, especially when considering the share price of General Steel is now actually lower than it was before the buyback first started last December. That being said, we also view this plan as more of a defensive measure by the company in an environment of multiple compression for small-cap Chinese RTO companies. The repurchase plan will provide some support to the share price but is not likely to result in significant share price appreciation, in our opinion.
Maintaining Market Outperform and $4 Price Target
We are maintaining our Market Outperform/Speculative Risk rating and $4 price target on the shares of General Steel. Our $4 price target is based on the shares trading at 8x our updated 2011 EPS estimate of $0.46.
Major risks include macroeconomic risk, commodity price and raw material risks, market oversupply of low-end steel products, concentrated customer base, execution risk, especially related to acquisitions, as well as country and political risks related to operating in China.Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality:This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request.Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s).Member FINRA.Member SIPC.
Rodman and Renshaw on GSI 5/12/2011
1Q11 Results Review: Second Profitable Quarter in a Row
1Q11 Results
For the second consecutive quarter, General Steel Holdings (“General Steel”, Ticker: GSI, Market Outperform) reported a quarterly profit. Revenue in 1Q11 reached $710.5 million, up 57% YoY and blew away our estimate of $487.0 million. Gross profit increased 394% YoY to $28.3 million, representing a gross margin of 4.0%. With a $13.8 million of operating income, General Steel has achieved a complete turnaround from an operating loss of $6.4 million for the same period last year. Net income attributable to the company in 1Q11 was $2.6 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, while below our estimate of $4.8 million (or $0.09 EPS), was clearly better than its respective figure of a loss of $5.5 million (or $0.11 loss per share) a year ago.
Financial Condition
As of March 31, 2011, the company had cash and restricted cash of $292.3 million and stockholders’ equity of $102.7 million. Total liabilities stood at $1.9 billion, which included $556.8 million of short-term notes payable related to bank lines of credit and $507.4 million of short-term loans.
Adjusting Estimates and Maintaining Market Outperform and $5 Price Target
We have adjusted our estimates to reflect the 1Q11 financial results. We now estimate revenue, gross profit, and net income for 2Q11 will reach $824.5 million, $35.0 million, $6.6 million (or $0.12 EPS). For full year 2011, we expect the respective figures will be: $3.3 billion, $138.6 million, $25.2 million (or $0.46 EPS). We are maintaining our Market Outperform/Speculative Risk rating and $4 price target on the shares of General Steel. Our $4 price target is based on the shares trading at 8x our updated 2011 EPS estimate of $0.46.
Major risks include macroeconomic risk, commodity price and raw material risks, market oversupply of low-end steel products, concentrated customer base, execution risk, especially related to acquisitions, as well as country and political risks related to operating and investing in China.Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality:This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request.Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s).Member FINRA.Member SIPC.
First Quarter Results:
GeoTeam® Note: 2011 First quarter analyst EPS estimates were $0.09.
"Based on our increased capacity, we entered 2011 with strong revenue growth in what is typically a slow quarter for construction activity. We are also making important gains to our bottom line and are well positioned to continue the trend of profitable growth, as we make additional progress toward increasing capacity, production efficiency and cost structure at Longmen JV," said General Steel Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Henry Yu. "The new production equipment at Longmen JV, which has been operational since the beginning of the year, has contributed to significant improvements in operating expenses and reductions of energy consumption per ton of steel produced. These improvements contributed to a healthy margin expansion, with our first quarter gross margin of 4.0% which was well ahead of the same quarter last year."
Rodman and Renshaw on GSI 3/17/2011
In-Line 4Q10 Results; Maintaining Rating and Price Target
General Steel Holdings (“General Steel”, Ticker: GSI, Market Outperform) announced 4Q10 results that were by and large in-line with our expectations. Total revenue increased 6% YoY to $478.6 million, a touch shy of our estimate of $481.4 million. Gross profit grew 223% YoY to $43.2 million, representing a gross margin of 9.0%, easily beating our respective estimates of $19.3 million and 4.0%. The company generated a quarterly profit for the first time in over a year, turning in a net income of $2.2 million, a bit higher than our estimate of $1.5 million. Diluted EPS during the quarter was $0.04, beating our estimate by a penny.
For full year 2010, General Steel realized $1.9 billion of revenue, $71.9 million of gross profit, $19.0 million of operating income, as well as a net loss of $7.7 million or $(0.14) per diluted share. As of December 31, 2010, the company had cash and restricted cash of $263.1 million. Total liabilities stood at $1.6 billion, which included $480.2 million of short-term notes payable related to bank lines of credit and $489.4 million in short-term loans.
Highlights and Discussions
Increasing average selling price and Shaanxi Steel compensation were major contributors to the financial performance During the quarter, the average selling price of rebar increased 23% YoY to RMB3,753, which more than compensated for a slight production volume decrease from 1.1 million MT in 4Q09 to 969,000 MT in 4Q10, and helped the company achieve a respectable top-line performance. Perhaps more significantly, the company received RMB180 million (approximately $27.1 million) of compensation from Shaanxi Steel Group during the quarter, which helped lower COGS and improve gross margin. This compensation was for the loss of production volume and production efficiency at the Longmen Joint Venture during the construction of the blast furnaces by Shaanxi Steel. Without the reimbursement, the gross margin would have decreased to 3.4% from the actual 9.0%. Going forward, management expects to receive some additional compensation from Shaanxi Steel due to such equipment construction, although the exact amounts and timing are unclear at this time.
Share buyback update On December 21, 2010, the company announced a share repurchase program to buy back up to an aggregate of 1,000,000 shares of its common stock. During the 4Q10 earnings conference call, management provided an update indicating that, by the end of December, the company bought back approximately 30% of the intended 1 million shares. As of today, it has bought back a total of 713,660 shares.
Auditor upgrade on track General Steel announced on December 29 that it would change its auditor to PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian from its current auditor Frazer Frost, effective 2Q11. During the 4Q10 conference call, management indicated this transition was going smoothly and there should be no change to the initially announced timing. In light of the current market sentiment surrounding the small cap China sector, we certainly believe a successful transition to a “Big 4” auditor can significantly enhance the company’s credibility in the U.S.Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality:This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request.Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed.Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s).Member FINRA.Member SIPC.
Fourth Quarter Highlights:
Full-Year 2010 Financial Highlights
"2010 was a year of progress and positioning for General Steel, as we grew revenue in a challenging environment. We commenced several initiatives aimed at expanding our production capacity to capture what we believe will be a considerable increase in demand in 2011," said General Steel Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Henry Yu. "We made considerable improvements to our bottom-line during the year and we expect to continue to demonstrate financial gains based on our newly expanded capacity, which was not reflected in our fourth quarter results. Now that this construction is complete, along with our upgrades to existing production equipment and improved raw materials procurement, we expect to increase production levels and attain profitability. In addition, our improved raw materials sourcing is designed to insulate us from pricing volatility, providing greater stability and visibility, supporting our overall goal of margin improvement, and creating a platform to support sustainable profitability."
Rodman and Renshaw on GSI 1/31/2011
New Test Runs a Positive Development
General Steel Holdings (“General Steel”, Ticker: GSI, Market Outperform) today announced that it will test run two newly constructed 1,280 cubic meter blast furnaces, two 120 metric ton converters and one 400 square meter sintering machine at its Longmen joint venture in Shaanxi province. The construction of the new equipment is funded by Shaanxi Iron and Steel Group (“Shaanxi Group”), and General Steel is currently in negotiations with Shaanxi Group to enter into a lease agreement. The company expects that the test run period will continue until the lease agreement is finalized.
We view this as a positive development for General Steel on several levels. First of all, the company will expand its annual production capacity by an additional three million metric tons to 9.3 million metric tons, assuming new equipment running at their designed efficiency levels. These new equipment could enhance the company’s overall efficiency and reduce costs, which will likely result in expanded margins. During these test runs, the company will also be able to generate some additional revenue, thus providing modest upsides to its financial performance. Last but not the least, by leasing the equipment, General Steel reduces the need for debt financing or issuing new equity.
We are maintaining Market Outperform/Speculative Risk rating and $4 price target on the shares of General Steel. Our $4 price target is based on our assumption of the shares trading at 8x our 2011 diluted EPS of $0.52. Major risks include macroeconomic risk, commodity price and raw material risks, market oversupply of low-end steel products, concentrated customer base, execution risk, especially related to acquisitions, as well as country and political risks related to operating in China.Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality: This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice. Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed. Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s). Member FINRA. Member SIPC.
Rodman & Renshaw on GSI 12/31/2010
Auditor Upgrade a Timely Development
General Steel Holdings Inc. (“General Steel”, Ticker: GSI, Market Outperform) today announced that it will upgrade its auditor to PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian CPAs (“PwC”) from the current auditor Frazer Frost LLP (“Frazer Frost”). PwC will officially start to provide the service in F2Q11 (June 2011 quarter) and will serve as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for FY2011.
We view this as a timely and positive development in light of the controversies that the company's current auditor, Frazer Frost, has been involved in. The decision to upgrade to a Big 4 auditor showcases management’s commitment to improve its internal control and financial reporting as well as to establish a high standard of financial transparency. In addition, on December 21, the company announced a share repurchase program to buy back up to an aggregate of 1,000,000 shares of its common stock. While it was an open-ended announcement without the exact repurchase amount or timing, it was nevertheless a positive development, indicating the company's shareholder friendly stance.
We are maintaining our existing Market Outperform/Speculative Risk rating and $4 price target on the shares of General Steel. Our $4 price target is based on our assumption of the shares trading at 8x our 2011 diluted EPS of $0.52.
Major risks to our rating and price target include macroeconomic risk, commodity price and raw material risks, market oversupply of low-end steel products, concentrated customer base, execution risk, especially related to acquisitions, as well as country and political risks related to operating in China.Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality: This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice. Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed. Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s). Member FINRA. Member SIPC.
Rodman & Renshaw on GSI
Overview: GSI announced 3Q10 revenue of $460.3 MM and net loss of ($2.3 MM), with a fully diluted EPS of ($0.04). This compares to our expectations of $523.2 MM in revenue, $2.0 MM in net profit and $0.04 net earnings per share. 3Q10 revenue declined by 5.1% Y-o-Y from $484.8 MM in 3Q09, and 8.25% sequentially from $501.7 MM in 2Q10. Shipment volume during this quarter was 940,561 tons, down 9.2% Y-o-Y from 3Q09’s 1.0 MM tons, while monthly ASP of rebar recovered from 4,000 RMB in July to 4,350 RMB in September.
Margin Improvement Aided By Higher Production Efficiency: The company eliminated some less efficient furnaces in Longmen facility during the quarter, driving gross margin higher to 3.4% compared to last quarter’s 1.47%. ASP of rebar recovered nicely from 4,000 RMB in July to 4,350 RMB in September. For raw material costs, coke and iron ore prices were maintained at RMB 1,700~1,800 and RMB 1,200~1,250 levels. Management expects rebar selling price and raw material cost to remain relatively stable at current level for the remainder of 2010.
Near-Term Focus On Profitability: Management stated that the company is currently focused on improving profitability, including securing high quality, lower cost raw materials through the newly established Tianwu JV. During the quarter, Tianwu JV has secured 138,000 tons of iron ore for the remainder of 2010 from Minera Santa Fe in Chile. GSI expects that 30%~50% of its total iron-ore use (2~3 MM tons) will be potentially sourced through Tianwu JV.
2.4 MM Tons of Additional Capacity: During the earnings call, management indicated that GSI is in discussion with Shaanxi Iron & Steel Group to co-develop two new blast furnaces with 2 MM tons of capacity. Additionally the Maoming facility is potentially bringing in a new production line with 400,000 tons/year of capacity. We have not yet included this new capacity in our model for FY10 and FY11, but will revise our numbers accordingly when we obtain more visibility.
4Q10 & FY11 Estimates: For 4Q10 we are maintaining our estimates for revenue and net income at $481.4 MM and $1.5 MM, with diluted EPS of $0.03. This implies a full year revenue, net loss, and diluted EPS of $1.9 BB, ($8.4 MM), and ($0.16), respectively. For FY11, our estimates are $2.0 BB, $28.7 MM, and $0.52, respectively.
Valuation: Based on our projections, GSI is currently trading at a P/E multiple of ~5.1x to our FY11 earnings estimates while on EV/EBITDA basis, it is trading at ~18.3x and ~7.7x to our FY10 and FY11 forecasts. At our $4.00 price target, GSI would trade at a forward FY11 P/E multiple of ~13.4x and EV/EBITDA multiple of ~9.9x, compared to the industry averages of ~20.7x P/E and ~6.8x in EV/EBITDA.Notice Regarding Privacy and Confidentiality: This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is based on information generally available to the public from sources we believe to be reliable, no representation is made that the subject information is accurate or complete. Past performance is not a guarantee nor does it necessarily serve as an indicator of future results. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. Since Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a tax advisor, transactions requiring tax consideration should be reviewed carefully with your tax advisor. Similarly, Rodman & Renshaw, LLC is not a law firm and provides no legal opinions or legal advice. Rodman & Renshaw, LLC may make a market in the securities being discussed. Rodman & Renshaw, LLC and/or its officers or employees may have positions in any of the securities of this (these) issuer(s). Member FINRA. Member SIPC.
Highlights from the Third Quarter of 2010:
Revenues
"We witnessed continued strong demand for our steel products and a subsequent gross margin improvement for our business, despite a challenging market," said General Steel Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Henry Yu. "This quarter we focused on cost-saving measures to improve profitability that included cutting production of less efficient blast furnaces at our Longmen Joint Venture. At the same time, this quarter we announced the successful formation of a new joint venture with Tianjin Materials and Equipment Group. This newly formed joint venture will give us more flexibility and better quality in our supply of raw materials, something especially important in an industry experiencing volatile raw material costs. We believe that in addition to improving our gross margin, this joint venture is aligned with our strategy of increasing profitability and delivering long-term shareholder value."
GeoTeam® Note: The loss for the quarter was mainly due to an increase in interest expense to $10.2 million.
Net loss attributable to General Steel Holdings, Inc. for the second quarter of 2010 was $2.1 million compared to a net loss of $31.8 million in the second quarter of 2009. Net loss attributable to General Steel Holdings, Inc. for the first half of 2010 was $7.6 million compared to net loss of $24.5 million in the first half of 2009. Basic and diluted losses per share for the second quarter of 2010 were $0.041 compared to basic and diluted losses per share of $0.80 in the second quarter of 2009. Basic and diluted losses per share for the first half of 2010 were $0.15 compared to basic and diluted losses per share of $0.64 in the first half of 2009
"Demand continues to be robust," said General Steel's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Henry Yu. "Located in central China, our largest subsidiary, Longmen Joint Venture, is relatively insulated from the slowdown in the real estate industry and allows us to continue benefiting from infrastructure development projects in western China. In fact, this year alone, there are over 235 construction and infrastructure projects scheduled to begin in Shaanxi province, including nine new railways, one new airport, the expansion of the Xi'an airport, two new ring subway systems and four new dams. These projects will take place over many years and drive our growth in the quarters and years to come. In the meantime, the industry continues to experience ups and downs as average selling prices and key input costs for iron ore and coking coal continue to fluctuate. Regardless, our focus is to continue vetting high-quality acquisition targets while putting an equal effort on controlling our costs and increasing profitability. The fundamentals of our business remain strong and I'm confident in our ability to deliver long-term shareholder value."
General Steel Holdings near-term growth to be impacted by China's tightening measures
Excerpt from Rodman & Renshaw report:
Expect Modest Y-o-Y Volume Growth in Longmen; ASP Weaker: We expect GSI’s 2Q10 performance to be impacted by China’s tightening policies that were executed over the quarter. We are still expecting shipment volume from Longmen JV in 2Q10 to grow modestly at ~5% Y-o-Y to ~886,000 tons, helped by the company’s presence in western China, where GDP growth is outpacing the national average. Longmen facility is estimated to account for ~95% of total shipment volume during the quarter. ASP should be expected to be weaker due to overall slowdown in construction activity. We expect average ASP for GSI in 2Q10 to be ~RMB 4,250 (ranging from ~RMB 4,500 to ~RMB 4,000 between April and June).
Margin Pressure Remains: Historically 2Q and 3Q have been stronger quarters for GSI due to a ramp in quarterly shipment volume and stronger price environment. However, tightening driven slowdown in demand for infrastructure and construction steel should impact margins and profitability (at least in 2Q10).
Model Adjustments: We are revising our financial projections to better reflect current demand environment. We are now projecting 2Q10 revenue and gross profit of $498.3 MM and $10.0 MM, with US GAAP net loss of ($6.4 MM), compared to our prior estimates of $483.8 MM, $26.6 MM, and positive net income of $7.5 MM. For full year FY10, we expect the company to deliver revenue and net loss of $1.96 BB and ($8.5 MM), with US GAAP EPS of ($0.16). We are also introducing our estimate for FY11. We now project a revenue and net income and EPS of $2.02 BB, $29.7 MM, and $0.55, respectively based on US GAAP.
Consolidation Remains Key To Story: At a policy level China continues to target elimination of backward steel capacity through consolidation but the pace of executing this mandate has been much slower than our expectations. We believe concerns around employment losses and impact on provincial revenue generation via taxes on this large industry have been difficult issues to overcome. In relation to GSI, we believe it is becoming increasingly important for management to execute on its M&A strategy as it positions itself as a consolidator. We believe that entities that survive the industry consolidation should benefit from being able to deliver on profitability more consistently compared to the current volatility in earnings.
Lowering Price Target: We are lowering our price target on GSI from $5.00 to $4.00 driven by the above adjustments. We maintain our Market Outperform rating on GSI driven by substantial infrastructure work being carried out in Western China that should support the company’s growth. We believe that growth in 2010 will primarily be organic. Based upon our new projections, GSI is currently trading at a P/E multiple of ~5.4x to our FY11 earnings estimates while on EV/EBITDA basis, it is trading at ~7.2x and ~3.3x to our FY10 and FY11 forecasts. At our new $4.00 price target, GSI would trade at a forward FY11 P/E multiple of ~7.3x and EV/EBITDA multiple of ~4x, compared to the industry averages of ~11x P/E and ~5.5x in EV/EBITDA.
Added to the GeoSpecial list on December 10, 2009 @ $5.06
Catalyst: Appeared that EPS was on the turnaround. Peak performance: Reached a high of $5.84 on December 23, 2009 Current Price: $3.00
Current road block: Missed EPS estimates on more than one occasion; Analyst estimates have come down; 2011 growth is forecasted to be negative.
Removed from the GeoSpecial list.
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