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Providing investors with the
tools to make informed decisions.
 Tracking 1050 U.S. listed China Stocks and Counting...
 Tracking 1535 U.S. Stocks and Counting...

 China Security (NYSE:CSR)

Friday, May 29, 2009
Valuation Scenarios

Data Inputs:

Fiscal Year Ends in December
 
Date 05/29/09
Price $7.96
12 Months Trailing EPS a,b $1.05
Published 2009  EPS Guidance a,b $1.55
Future EPS Growth Based on 2009 Average Guidance 34.78%
Trailing P/E Ratio a,b 7.58
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) a,b 0.22


a CSR is not paying a full U.S. tax rate.  Therefore, all EPS numbers have been adjusted by the GeoTeam® to reflect a standard U.S. tax rate of 36%. All EPS numbers are non-GAAP.

b Please note that the GeoTeam® non-GAAP calculation differs from the company's.  The company adds back depreciation and amortization along with other non-cash items and subtracts one time gains to net income to derive a non-GAAP net income figure. The GeoTeam® generally prefers not to add back depreciation and amortization  to derive a non-GAAP net income figure. 

Short-Term Valuation Scenarios

Date 05/29/09
Price Based on P/E of 15 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS c $15.75
Price Based on P/E of 10 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS c $10.50
Price Based on P/E of 5 on 2009 EPS Guidance c $7.75

Long-Term (12 Months Forward) Valuation Scenarios

Date 05/29/09
Price Based on P/E of 15 on 2009  EPS Guidance c $23.25
Price Based on P/E of 10 on 2009  EPS Guidance c $15.50

Peg Ratio Analysis - Common rule of thumb that PEG ratio should be less than 1.0

PEG Ratio Less than 1? YES

c The GeoTeam® used P/E ratios that are less than our usual assumptions due to the company's high Debt to Equity ratio of 50%.

These scenarios are not investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines.  They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions.